Non League Premier - Isthmian · Regular Season - 8
Burgess Hill TownvsDulwich Hamlet
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Isthmian
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich Hamlet: match review and analysis
Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich Hamlet in Non League Premier - Isthmian on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Burgess Hill Town recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Dulwich Hamlet recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 18 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Burgess Hill Town | Dulwich Hamlet |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Burgess Hill Town: (2.41 weighted goals scored + 2.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dulwich Hamlet: (1.41 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Burgess Hill Town recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Maldon & TiptreeNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Winslow UnitedFA Trophy | Home | 6–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Hanwell TownFA Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Jersey BullsFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| RamsgateNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Jersey BullsFA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DartfordNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| CheshuntNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Burgess Hill Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Dulwich Hamlet recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enfield TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SalisburyFA Cup | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Hastings UnitedFA Trophy | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Welling UnitedFA Cup | Home | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Brentwood TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| East Grinstead TownFA Cup | Home | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Three BridgesNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Wingate & FinchleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dulwich Hamlet’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Isthmian — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Dulwich Hamlet are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 16 points from 9 games.
Burgess Hill Town are ranked 12 in Regular Season, with 14 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | Welling United | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Dartford | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Lewes | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Carshalton Athletic | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Dulwich Hamlet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 11 | Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 | Burgess Hill Town | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 12 |
| 15 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 | Brentwood Town | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Whyteleafe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Maldon & Tiptree | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 8 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.
