Primera A · Clausura - 7
BucaramangavsÁguilas Doradas
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera A
- Venue
- Estadio Américo Montanini
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas: match review and analysis
Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas in Primera A on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Bucaramanga recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Águilas Doradas recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bucaramanga | Águilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bucaramanga: (2.08 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Águilas Doradas: (1.14 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Bucaramanga recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JuniorPrimera A | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Mara CaldasPrimera A | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Internacional de BogotaPrimera A | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Independiente MedellinPrimera A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Deportivo PereiraPrimera A | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Huondoa TolimaPrimera A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Alianza ValleduparPrimera A | Away | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| CucutaPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LlanerosPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Bucaramanga’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Águilas Doradas recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza ValleduparPrimera A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| JaguaresPrimera A | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| America de CaliPrimera A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo PereiraPrimera A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atletico NacionalPrimera A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Internacional de BogotaPrimera A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ChicoPrimera A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MillonariosPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LlanerosPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Águilas Doradas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Águilas Doradas are ranked 12 in Apertura, with 26 points from 19 games.
Bucaramanga are ranked 13 in Apertura, with 23 points from 19 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Mara Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Huondoa Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 |
Bucaramanga are ranked 4 in Clausura, with 23 points from 11 games.
Águilas Doradas are ranked 11 in Clausura, with 15 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 | Huondoa Tolima | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Mara Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.