Copa do Brasil U20 · Round of 32
Botafogo U20vsBahia U20
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa do Brasil U20
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20: match review and analysis
Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20 in Copa do Brasil U20 on 8 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Botafogo U20 recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Bahia U20 recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 53 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Botafogo U20 | Bahia U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 53 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Botafogo U20: (2.10 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bahia U20: (5.95 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Botafogo U20 recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maricá U20Carioca U20 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Vasco da Gama U20Carioca U20 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Flamengo U20Carioca U20 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fluminense U20Carioca U20 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Estrela De Marco U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Sampaio Correa FE U20Carioca U20 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Volta Redonda U20Carioca U20 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Madureira U20Carioca U20 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Boavista U20Carioca U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Santos U20Brasileiro U20 A | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Botafogo U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bahia U20 recent form
5.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Alagoinhas U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 16–0 | Won | |
| Fluminense de Feira U20Baiano U20 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Fluminense de Feira U20Baiano U20 | Away | 8–0 | Won | |
| Camaçariense U20Baiano U20 | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Camaçariense U20Baiano U20 | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Jacobina U20Baiano U20 | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| Cruzeiro U20Brasileiro U20 A | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Jacobina U20Baiano U20 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Grêmio U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Santos U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Bahia U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa do Brasil U20 — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.