Cup · Round of 64
Besa Kavajë4–1Devolli
Mkeka wa Leo · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Besa Kavajë vs Devolli: match review and analysis
Besa Kavajë vs Devolli in Cup on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Besa Kavajë recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 8. Devolli recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 20 scored and 25 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Besa Kavajë | Devolli |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 25 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Besa Kavajë: (2.63 weighted goals scored + 2.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Devolli: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Besa Kavajë recent form
2.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besëlidhja Lezhë1st Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Oriku1st Division | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Sopoti Librazhd1st Division | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Flamurtari1st Division | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| FK KukesiFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| PogradeciFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PartizaniFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| LaciFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PogradeciSuperliga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Iliria Fushë-KrujëSuperliga | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Besa Kavajë’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Devolli recent form
2.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastrioti KrujëCup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Tomori Berat2nd Division - Play-offs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Këlcyra2nd Division - Group B | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Memaliaj2nd Division - Group B | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Luftëtari2nd Division - Group B | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Maliqi2nd Division - Group B | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Tomori Berat2nd Division - Group B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Shkumbini Peqin2nd Division - Group B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Oriku2nd Division - Group B | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Delvina2nd Division - Group B | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Devolli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.