1 Lyga · Regular Season - 26
Be1 NFAvsDainava
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1 Lyga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Be1 NFA vs Dainava: match review and analysis
Be1 NFA vs Dainava in 1 Lyga on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Be1 NFA recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Dainava recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 8 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Be1 NFA | Dainava |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Be1 NFA: (1.72 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dainava: (0.81 weighted goals scored + 0.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Be1 NFA recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transinvest 21 Lyga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FA Šiauliai II1 Lyga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kauno Žalgiris II1 Lyga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ekranas1 Lyga | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Garliava1 Lyga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hegelmann II1 Lyga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Minija1 Lyga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Jonava1 Lyga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BFA1 Lyga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Atmosfera1 Lyga | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Be1 NFA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dainava recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garliava1 Lyga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hegelmann II1 Lyga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Minija1 Lyga | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Jonava1 Lyga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MinijaCup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Žalgiris II1 Lyga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atmosfera1 Lyga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BFA1 Lyga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Babrungas1 Lyga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tauras1 Lyga | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Dainava’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1 Lyga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Be1 NFA are ranked 3 in 1 Lyga, with 50 points from 24 games.
Dainava are ranked 8 in 1 Lyga, with 40 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68 | 13 | 55 | 67 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 11 | 32 | 61 |
| 3 | Be1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 44 |
| 5 | Tauras | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Žalgiris II | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
| 7 | BFA | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 30 |
| 10 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Garliava | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 22 |
| 13 | Hegelmann II | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 22 |
| 14 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 21 |
| 15 | FA Šiauliai II | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25 | 58 | -33 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.