Premier League · Regular Season - 24
ArsenalvsDinamo Brest
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Dzerzhinsk City Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest: match review and analysis
Arsenal vs Dinamo Brest in Premier League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Arsenal recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 22. Dinamo Brest recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Arsenal | Dinamo Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Arsenal: (0.78 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dinamo Brest: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 2.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Arsenal recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC MinskFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ML VitebskPremier League | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| BaranovichiPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| BelshinaPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Slavia MozyrPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NaftanPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FC MinskPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NemanCoppa | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Arsenal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dinamo Brest recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NemanFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC Dnepr MogilevPremier League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Dinamo MinskPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bate BorisovPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ML VitebskPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BaranovichiPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BelshinaPremier League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Slavia MozyrCoppa | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dinamo Brest’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Dinamo Brest are ranked 4 in Premier League, with 40 points from 23 games.
Arsenal are ranked 12 in Premier League, with 23 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 43 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 54 | -34 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.