Copa Chile · Quarter-finals
Antofagasta2–0Universidad de Chile
Mkeka wa Leo · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Chile
- Venue
- Estadio Regional de Antofagasta
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Antofagasta vs Universidad de Chile: match review and analysis
Antofagasta vs Universidad de Chile in Copa Chile on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Antofagasta recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 8. Universidad de Chile recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 19 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Antofagasta | Universidad de Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Antofagasta: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Universidad de Chile: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Antofagasta recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers de TalcaPrimera B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Deportes IquiqueCopa Chile | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Deportes IquiqueCopa Chile | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| San LuisPrimera B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CobreloaPrimera B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RecoletaPrimera B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Deportes CopiapoPrimera B | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Deportes TemucoPrimera B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Deportes IquiquePrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Santiago WanderersPrimera B | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Antofagasta’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Universidad de Chile recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton de VinaCopa Chile | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Everton de VinaCopa Chile | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| D. La SerenaPrimera División | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Coquimbo UnidoPrimera División | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Universidad de ConcepcionPrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Colo ColoPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Deportes LimachePrimera División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PalestinoPrimera División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Union San FelipeCopa Chile | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| HuachipatoPrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Universidad de Chile’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Chile — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.