Liga Nacional · Regular Season - 10
Antigua GFCvsMunicipal
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Nacional
- Venue
- Estadio Pensativo
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Antigua GFC vs Municipal: match review and analysis
Antigua GFC vs Municipal in Liga Nacional on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Antigua GFC recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 18. Municipal recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 14 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Antigua GFC | Municipal |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Antigua GFC: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 0.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Municipal: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 1.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Antigua GFC recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarquenseLiga Nacional | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MixcoLiga Nacional | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| XelajúLiga Nacional | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| SuchitepéquezLiga Nacional | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| MalacatecoLiga Nacional | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AuroraLiga Nacional | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo San PedroLiga Nacional | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| CS HeredianoCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ComunicacionesLiga Nacional | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cobán ImperialLiga Nacional | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Antigua GFC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Municipal recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SuchitepéquezLiga Nacional | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| MalacatecoLiga Nacional | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AuroraLiga Nacional | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo San PedroLiga Nacional | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ComunicacionesLiga Nacional | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CD MotaguaCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| XelajúLiga Nacional | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FASCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GuastatoyaLiga Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cobán ImperialLiga Nacional | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Municipal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Nacional — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.