Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 6
Annan AthleticvsAlloa Athletic
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge Cup
- Venue
- Galabank
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic: match review and analysis
Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic in Challenge Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Annan Athletic recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Alloa Athletic recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Annan Athletic | Alloa Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Annan Athletic: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 1.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alloa Athletic: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Annan Athletic recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StranraerLeague Two | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Stirling AlbionLeague Two | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hibernian U21Challenge Cup | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Queen of the SouthChallenge Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Forfar AthleticLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Elgin CityLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Motherwell U21Challenge Cup | Home | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Kelty HeartsLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DumbartonLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Berwick RangersChallenge Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Annan Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Alloa Athletic recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton AcademicalLeague One | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ross CountyLeague One | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Gala Fairydean RoversChallenge Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hibernian U21Challenge Cup | Home | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| East KilbrideLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Airdrie UnitedLeague One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ClydebankChallenge Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PeterheadLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Motherwell U21Challenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Alloa Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.