Division 1 · Regular Season - 6
Al ArabivsGulf United
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Division 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Al Arabi vs Gulf United: match review and analysis
Al Arabi vs Gulf United in Division 1 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Al Arabi recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 14. Gulf United recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 16 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al Arabi | Gulf United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al Arabi: (2.06 weighted goals scored + 1.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gulf United: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al Arabi recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al UroobaPresidents Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Al ThaidPresidents Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Emirates ClubPresidents Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Dubai CityDivision 1 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Al UroobaDivision 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al BataehDivision 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al Fujairah SCDivision 1 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Palm CityDivision 1 | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| MasfutDivision 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Gulf UnitedDivision 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Al Arabi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gulf United recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Fujairah SCPresidents Cup | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Al Jazira Al HamraDivision 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| IttifaqDivision 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al ThaidDivision 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Dibba Al-FujairahDivision 1 | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| IttifaqDivision 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al UroobaDivision 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al ArabiDivision 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MasfutDivision 1 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Dubai UnitedDivision 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Gulf United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Division 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al Arabi are ranked 1 in Division 1, with 13 points from 5 games.
Gulf United are ranked 9 in Division 1, with 6 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Thaid | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forte Virtus | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Hamriyah | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Bataeh | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Dibba Al Hisn | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Al Fujairah SC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Gulf United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Emirates Club | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Urooba | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Palm City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Dubai City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2 |
| 15 | Ittifaq | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.