Primera C · Regular Season - 31
Claypole1–1Deportivo Español
Mkeka wa Leo · Live match
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Second Half
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera C
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Second Half
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Claypole vs Deportivo Español: match review and analysis
Claypole vs Deportivo Español in Primera C on 6 October 2026 is in progress. The latest saved score is 1–1. Scores and match status refresh automatically.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Claypole recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Deportivo Español recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses, with 7 scored and 1 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Claypole | Deportivo Español |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 1 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 2 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Claypole: (1.01 weighted goals scored + 0.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportivo Español: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Claypole recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central CordobaPrimera C | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| YupanquiPrimera C | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SacachispasPrimera C | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Central BallesterPrimera C | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| El PorvenirPrimera C | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| FénixPrimera C | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MercedesPrimera C | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sportivo BarracasPrimera C | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Juventud UnidaPrimera C | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LujanPrimera C | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Claypole’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Español recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.10 conceded per game. 2 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central BallesterPrimera C | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| El PorvenirPrimera C | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MercedesPrimera C | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FénixPrimera C | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sportivo BarracasPrimera C | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| LujanPrimera C | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SacachispasPrimera C | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| General LamadridPrimera C | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Leones de RosarioPrimera C | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atletico AtlasPrimera C | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Deportivo Español’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera C — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berazategui | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 48 |
| 2 | Sacachispas | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 47 |
| 3 | Lugano | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 46 |
| 4 | Juventud Unida | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | Estrella Del Sur | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Centro Español | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Mercedes | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 44 |
| 9 | Puerto Nuevo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 38 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 36 |
| 11 | JJ Urquiza | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 32 |
| 13 | Leandro N. Alem | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 31 |
| 14 | Argentino Rosario | 31 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 27 |
Deportivo Español are ranked 4 in Group B, with 48 points from 30 games.
Claypole are ranked 12 in Group B, with 32 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 61 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Español | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 48 |
| 5 | Leones de Rosario | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 40 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Central Ballester | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | Atletico Atlas | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 31 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Claypole | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 32 |
| 13 | Fénix | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 31 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muñiz | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 26 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.