Persha Liga · Regular Season - 10
Yarud Mariupol'0–0Nyva Ternopil
Mkeka wa Leo · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Persha Liga
- Venue
- Kolos Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil: match review and analysis
Yarud Mariupol' vs Nyva Ternopil in Persha Liga on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Yarud Mariupol' recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Nyva Ternopil recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 9 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Yarud Mariupol' | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Yarud Mariupol': (1.65 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nyva Ternopil: (1.01 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Yarud Mariupol' recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OleksandriaPersha Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Polissya IIPersha Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Probiy HorodenkaPersha Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Zorya LuhanskCup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KulykivPersha Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lokomotiv KyivPersha Liga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dinaz VyshhorodCup | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Kolos Kovalivka IIPersha Liga | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| SK PoltavaPersha Liga | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Yarud Mariupol'’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nyva Ternopil recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PrykarpattiaPersha Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ChernihivPersha Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Metal KharkivPersha Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BukovynaCup | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| InhuletsPersha Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| UCSAPersha Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SK PoltavaPersha Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OleksandriaPersha Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Nyva Ternopil’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persha Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Yarud Mariupol' are ranked 7 in Persha Liga, with 15 points from 10 games.
Nyva Ternopil are ranked 12 in Persha Liga, with 11 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Oleksandria | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | SK Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulykiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Yarud Mariupol' | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Metal Kharkiv | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Polissya II | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.