UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2
VillarrealvsNapoli
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Venue
- Estadio de la Cerámica
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Villarreal vs Napoli: match review and analysis
Villarreal vs Napoli in UEFA Champions League on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Villarreal recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Napoli recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 19 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Villarreal | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Villarreal: (1.74 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Napoli: (1.77 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Villarreal recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real MadridLa Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LevanteLa Liga | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| MalagaLa Liga | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Real BetisLa Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| AlavesLa Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Atletico MadridLa Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Racing SantanderLa Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GalatasarayFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Villarreal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Napoli recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrosinoneSerie A | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| FiorentinaSerie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BolognaSerie A | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| ArsenalUEFA Champions League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| InterSerie A | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ComoSerie A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GenoaSerie A | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Aris ThessalonikisFriendlies Clubs | Home | 6–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Celta VigoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OsasunaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Napoli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Champions League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Villarreal are ranked 21 in UEFA Champions League, with 0 points from 1 games.
Napoli are ranked 27 in UEFA Champions League, with 0 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Lask Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.