Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5
USM AlgervsJS Saoura
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
USM Alger vs JS Saoura: match review and analysis
USM Alger vs JS Saoura in Ligue 1 on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
USM Alger recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 13. JS Saoura recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | USM Alger | JS Saoura |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
USM Alger: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.29 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
JS Saoura: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
USM Alger recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MB RouissetLigue 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Olympique AkbouLigue 1 | Away | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| JS El BiarLigue 1 | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| KhenchelaLigue 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MC OranLigue 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ben AknounLigue 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CR BelouizdadLigue 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MB RouissetLigue 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KhenchelaLigue 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Paradou ACLigue 1 | Home | 4–2 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from USM Alger’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
JS Saoura recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique AkbouLigue 1 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| US BiskraLigue 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| JS El BiarLigue 1 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| HoroyaCAF Champions League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| HoroyaCAF Champions League | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| CS ConstantineLigue 1 | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| El BayadhLigue 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CR BelouizdadLigue 1 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MostaganemLigue 1 | Away | 4–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| KhenchelaLigue 1 | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from JS Saoura’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligue 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
USM Alger are ranked 4 in Division-1, with 7 points from 4 games.
JS Saoura are ranked 14 in Division-1, with 2 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | CS Constantine | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | MC Oran | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | USM Alger | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | MC Alger | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Ben Aknoun | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | JS Kabylie | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | MB Rouisset | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | ES Setif | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | JS El Biar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Olympique Akbou | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Témouchent | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Khenchela | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | JS Saoura | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | US Biskra | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | ASO Chlef | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.