Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 12
Worcester CityvsStourbridge
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern Central
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Worcester City vs Stourbridge: match review and analysis
Worcester City vs Stourbridge in Non League Premier - Southern Central on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Worcester City recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Stourbridge recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Worcester City | Stourbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Worcester City: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Stourbridge: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Worcester City recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushall OlympicNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kettering TownFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Racing Club WarwickNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Leek TownFA Trophy | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Banbury UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Stratford TownFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Knowle WFA Cup | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Knowle WFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bromsgrove SportingNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Worcester City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Stourbridge recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leighton TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Racing Club WarwickNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rushall OlympicFA Trophy | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rushall OlympicFA Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LeamingtonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Banbury UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Stourbridge’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern Central — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Stourbridge are ranked 12 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 10 games.
Worcester City are ranked 19 in Regular Season, with 7 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Alvechurch | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Kettering Town | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Redditch United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Banbury United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Stratford Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 28 | -25 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.