Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 12
StamfordvsStratford Town
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern Central
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Stamford vs Stratford Town: match review and analysis
Stamford vs Stratford Town in Non League Premier - Southern Central on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Stamford recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 28. Stratford Town recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 13 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Stamford | Stratford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 28 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Stamford: (0.47 weighted goals scored + 1.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Stratford Town: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 2.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Stamford recent form
0.40 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banbury UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Loughborough UniversityFA Trophy | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bishop's StortfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Mickleover SportsFA Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kettering TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Rushall OlympicNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Racing Club WarwickNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Stamford’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Stratford Town recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeamingtonNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Banbury UnitedNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Evesham UnitedFA Trophy | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Bromsgrove SportingNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Worcester CityFA Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kettering TownNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Alfreton TownFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Racing Club WarwickNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central | Away | 1–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Stratford Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern Central — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Stratford Town are ranked 18 in Regular Season, with 9 points from 10 games.
Stamford are ranked 22 in Regular Season, with 0 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Alvechurch | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Kettering Town | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Redditch United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Banbury United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Stratford Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 28 | -25 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.