Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 14
Redcar AthleticvsAvro
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Northern
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Redcar Athletic vs Avro: match review and analysis
Redcar Athletic vs Avro in Non League Premier - Northern on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Redcar Athletic recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 11. Avro recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 27 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Redcar Athletic | Avro |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 27 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Redcar Athletic: (2.22 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Avro: (2.49 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Redcar Athletic recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 5–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Curzon AshtonNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Alfreton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Guisborough TownFA Trophy | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Cleethorpes TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MacclesfieldFA Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Leek TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Stocksbridge Park SteelsFA Cup | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| United of ManchesterNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Redcar Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Avro recent form
2.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Lancaster CityNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 5–3 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Dunston UTSFA Trophy | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Gainsborough TrinityNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Witton AlbionFA Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| United of ManchesterNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 4–3 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 5–3 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Leek TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 4–4 | Draw | |
| Hyde UnitedNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Avro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Northern — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Redcar Athletic are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 28 points from 13 games.
Avro are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 25 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 30 |
| 2 | Redcar Athletic | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Curzon Ashton | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Workington | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | Rylands | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 19 |
| 9 | Gainsborough Trinity | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Warrington Town | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Hyde United | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 13 |
| 15 | Quorn | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Whitby Town | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 13 |
| 17 | Stockton Town | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.