Non League Premier - Isthmian · Regular Season - 11
Three BridgesvsLewes
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Isthmian
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Three Bridges vs Lewes: match review and analysis
Three Bridges vs Lewes in Non League Premier - Isthmian on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Three Bridges recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 25. Lewes recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Three Bridges | Lewes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 25 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Three Bridges: (1.97 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lewes: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 2.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Three Bridges recent form
1.80 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanway RoversNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| BiggleswadeFA Trophy | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| LeatherheadNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| St Albans CityNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| KingstonianFA Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Dulwich HamletNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Three Bridges’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Lewes recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cray WanderersNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| UxbridgeFA Trophy | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CheshuntNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Carshalton AthleticNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Cray WanderersFA Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cray WanderersFA Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Eastbourne BoroughNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Lewes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Isthmian — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lewes are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 22 points from 11 games.
Three Bridges are ranked 20 in Regular Season, with 8 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | Welling United | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Dartford | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Lewes | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Carshalton Athletic | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Dulwich Hamlet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 11 | Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 | Burgess Hill Town | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 12 |
| 15 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 | Brentwood Town | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Whyteleafe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Maldon & Tiptree | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 8 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.