Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 6
MontrosevsDundee United II
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge Cup
- Venue
- Links Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Montrose vs Dundee United II: match review and analysis
Montrose vs Dundee United II in Challenge Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Montrose recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 16. Dundee United II recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses, with 6 scored and 30 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Montrose | Dundee United II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 30 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Montrose: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 2.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dundee United II: (0.67 weighted goals scored + 2.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Montrose recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross CountyLeague One | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Airdrie UnitedLeague One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kelty HeartsChallenge Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Formartine UnitedChallenge Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| East FifeLeague One | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Cove RangersLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Dundee IIChallenge Cup | Home | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| PeterheadLeague One | Away | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Queen of the SouthLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| ClydeChallenge Cup | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Montrose’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Dundee United II recent form
0.60 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forfar AthleticChallenge Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Edinburgh CityChallenge Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Formartine UnitedChallenge Cup | Away | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Cove RangersChallenge Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ClachnacuddinChallenge Cup | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Inverness CTChallenge Cup | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Cove RangersChallenge Cup | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| SpartansChallenge Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PeterheadChallenge Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Elgin CityChallenge Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dundee United II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.