Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 6
Edinburgh CityvsSt. Mirren U21
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge Cup
- Venue
- Meadowbank Sports Centre
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Edinburgh City vs St. Mirren U21: match review and analysis
Edinburgh City vs St. Mirren U21 in Challenge Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Edinburgh City recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 14. St. Mirren U21 recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 22 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Edinburgh City | St. Mirren U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Edinburgh City: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 2.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
St. Mirren U21: (2.34 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Edinburgh City recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpartansLeague Two | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| StranraerLeague Two | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Formartine UnitedChallenge Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dundee United IIChallenge Cup | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Kelty HeartsLeague Two | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Stirling AlbionLeague Two | Home | 7–3 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Queen of the SouthChallenge Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ClydeLeague Two | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Forfar AthleticLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hamilton AcademicalChallenge Cup | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from Edinburgh City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
St. Mirren U21 recent form
2.20 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumbernauld ColtsChallenge Cup | Away | 4–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| ClydebankChallenge Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| East FifeChallenge Cup | Away | 5–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| ClydeChallenge Cup | Away | 4–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| East KilbrideFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| StranraerChallenge Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kelty HeartsChallenge Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hamilton AcademicalChallenge Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Annan AthleticChallenge Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from St. Mirren U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.