Challenge Cup · Group Stage - 6
East KilbridevsKelty Hearts
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge Cup
- Venue
- K-Park Training Academy
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts: match review and analysis
East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts in Challenge Cup on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
East Kilbride recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 18. Kelty Hearts recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, with 17 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | East Kilbride | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
East Kilbride: (2.32 weighted goals scored + 1.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kelty Hearts: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
East Kilbride recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrie UnitedLeague One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| East FifeLeague One | Away | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| StranraerChallenge Cup | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Celtic IIChallenge Cup | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Alloa AthleticLeague One | Away | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| PeterheadLeague One | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticChallenge Cup | Home | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Hamilton AcademicalLeague One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ross CountyLeague One | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| CowdenbeathChallenge Cup | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from East Kilbride’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Kelty Hearts recent form
1.70 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling AlbionLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SpartansLeague Two | Away | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| MontroseChallenge Cup | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Hearts U21Challenge Cup | Home | 3–5 | Lost | |
| Edinburgh CityLeague Two | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ClydeLeague Two | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Cumbernauld ColtsChallenge Cup | Away | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Annan AthleticLeague Two | Home | 2–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| StranraerLeague Two | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ClydebankChallenge Cup | Home | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kelty Hearts’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge Cup — current table
Kwa sasa hakuna meza ya ligi inayopatikana kwa ajili ya mashindano na msimu huu. Baadhi ya mizunguko ya vikombe na mechi za kirafiki hazina msimamo.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.