World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Semi-finals
England WvsGreece W
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
- Venue
- King Power Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
England W vs Greece W: match review and analysis
England W vs Greece W in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
England W recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 29 and conceding 6. Greece W recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 16 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | England W | Greece W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 29 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
England W: (2.68 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Greece W: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 0.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
England W recent form
2.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greece WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 3–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Ukraine WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Spain WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Iceland WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Spain WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 1–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Iceland WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Ukraine WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 6–1 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Ghana WFriendlies Women | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| China WFriendlies Women | Home | 8–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Australia WFriendlies Women | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle |
Scores shown from England W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
MICHEZO 10 ILIYOPITA
Greece W recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Georgia WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Moldova WFriendlies Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Faroe Islands WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Away | 3–2 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Faroe Islands WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Georgia WWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe | Home | 3–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina WFriendlies Women | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Belarus WFriendlies Women | Home | 2–0 | Baada ya kugoogle | |
| Belgium WFriendlies Women | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Turkey WUEFA Nations League - Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Greece W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sweden W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Serbia W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Netherlands W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Republic of Ireland W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Poland W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
England W are ranked 2 in League A - Group C, with 15 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 15 |
| 2 | England W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Iceland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
| 4 | Ukraine W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 19 | -17 | 0 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 17 | 16 |
| 2 | Norway W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Austria W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 4 |
| 4 | Slovenia W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Czechia W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 3 | Albania W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 1 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Malta W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 24 | -20 | 0 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 15 |
| 2 | Finland W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Slovakia W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 0 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 22 | 14 |
| 2 | Belgium W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 21 | 14 |
| 3 | Israel W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Luxembourg W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 34 | -33 | 0 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lithuania W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Bosnia-Herzegovina W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 11 |
| 3 | Estonia W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 34 | -31 | 0 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kosovo W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 15 |
| 2 | Croatia W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 15 |
| 3 | Bulgaria W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Gibraltar W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 32 | -31 | 0 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hungary W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 16 |
| 2 | Azerbaijan W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | North Macedonia W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| 4 | Andorra W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 1 |
Greece W are ranked 1 in League C - Group D, with 12 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greece W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Moldova W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cyprus W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 1 |
| Pos | Timu | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belarus W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.