Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8
SC BragavsSporting CP
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Venue
- Estádio Municipal de Braga
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
SC Braga vs Sporting CP: match review and analysis
SC Braga vs Sporting CP in Primeira Liga on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
SC Braga recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Sporting CP recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 26 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | SC Braga | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
SC Braga: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sporting CP: (2.45 weighted goals scored + 0.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
SC Braga recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EstorilPrimeira Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| EstrelaPrimeira Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlvercaPrimeira Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Vitória SCPrimeira Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Austria ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Austria ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo MinskUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MoreirensePrimeira Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Dinamo MinskUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from SC Braga’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sporting CP recent form
2.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AroucaPrimeira Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FamalicaoPrimeira Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GalatasarayUEFA Champions League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| NacionalPrimeira Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rio AvePrimeira Liga | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| AlvercaPrimeira Liga | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Vitória SCPrimeira Liga | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| EstrelaPrimeira Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Nottingham ForestFriendlies Clubs | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| MonacoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sporting CP’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primeira Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sporting CP are ranked 3 in Primeira Liga, with 15 points from 7 games.
SC Braga are ranked 6 in Primeira Liga, with 11 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.