Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 4
El BayadhvsWA Tlemcen
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligue 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
El Bayadh vs WA Tlemcen: match review and analysis
El Bayadh vs WA Tlemcen in Ligue 2 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
El Bayadh recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 13. WA Tlemcen recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | El Bayadh | WA Tlemcen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
El Bayadh: (0.35 weighted goals scored + 1.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
WA Tlemcen: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
El Bayadh recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KoléaLigue 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GC MascaraLigue 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sidi BenaliLigue 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MostaganemLigue 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| JS SaouraLigue 1 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KhenchelaLigue 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Paradou ACLigue 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MC AlgerLigue 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| JS KabylieLigue 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MC OranLigue 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from El Bayadh’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
WA Tlemcen recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC KoubaLigue 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TiaretLigue 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| TémouchentLigue 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KoléaLigue 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| JS El BiarLigue 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Béchar DjedidLigue 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| RC KoubaLigue 2 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| CRB AdrarLigue 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ASM OranLigue 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Usm El HarrachLigue 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from WA Tlemcen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligue 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USM Annaba | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | JSM Skikda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | NC Magra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Azazga | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | MO Constantine | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | MSP Batna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Khroub | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | MO Bejaia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Paradou AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Nrb Beni Oulbene | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | IRB Nezla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | US Chaouia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | JS Jijel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Teleghma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | CA Batna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | CR Béni Thour | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
WA Tlemcen are ranked 11 in West, with 3 points from 2 games.
El Bayadh are ranked 13 in West, with 1 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Kouba | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Blida | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | MC Saida | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Usm El Harrach | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | GC Mascara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | WA Mostaganem | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Mostaganem | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Sidi Benali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | ASM Oran | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Hussein Dey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | WA Tlemcen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Koléa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | El Bayadh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Tiaret | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | RC Arba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Taghit | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.