Liga III - Serie 3 · Group 3 - 8
BlejoivsPăuleşti
Mkeka wa Leo · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Mkeka wa Leo match analysis
Blejoi vs Păuleşti: match review and analysis
Blejoi vs Păuleşti in Liga III - Serie 3 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Mkeka wa Leo brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Blejoi recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 16. Păuleşti recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 11 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Blejoi | Păuleşti |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Blejoi: (2.26 weighted goals scored + 1.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Păuleşti: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 1.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Blejoi recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urban TituLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BercaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| PlopeniLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Râmnicu SăratLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PucioasaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Voința CrevediaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Flacăra MoreniLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| PăuleştiCupa României | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Viitorul OnestiLiga III - Play-offs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cetatea SuceavaLiga III - Play-offs | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Blejoi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Păuleşti recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul DraganestiLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Viitorul CorbeancaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TunariLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Flacăra MoreniLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Urban TituLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BercaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PlopeniLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TunariCupa României | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BlejoiCupa României | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| BrailaLiga III - Serie 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Păuleşti’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Blejoi are ranked 4 in Group 3, with 11 points from 7 games.
Păuleşti are ranked 12 in Group 3, with 2 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 19 |
| 2 | Tunari | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Berca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Blejoi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Voința Crevedia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Urban Titu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Râmnicu Sărat | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.